STOCK INDEX FUTURES
Stock index futures are lower across the board due to fears of a weakening global economy.
Lower equity markets overseas followed through into U.S. equity markets.
Today is a risk-off trade.
ris
CURRENCY FUTURES
The U.S. dollar index is higher and remains on track to advance for the fifth straight week. The greenback remains near a two-month high. Flight to quality buying is a supportive factor as well as the recently more hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials.
The euro zone July consumer price index declined 0.1% on the month as expected and increased 5.3% on the year as anticipated.
Building permits for apartments in Germany declined 27% during the first half of the year.
Retail sales in the U.K. dropped by 1.2% from the previous month in July 2023, which is worse than market estimates of a 0.5% decline, and after a downwardly revised 0.6% growth in June. This was the first contraction in the retail trade since March.
Japan’s headline consumer price index inflation increased 3.3% year-on-year, which is more than expectations for a reading of a 2.5% advance. Excluding fresh food, the core consumer price index increased 3.1% year-on-year as expected, and slowing slightly from the 3.3% gain in June.
INTEREST RATE MARKET FUTURES
Futures are higher across the board due to demand for safer assets.
Since yesterday the probably of the Federal Open Market Committee keeping it fed funds rate unchanged at next month’s policy meeting has increased.
Financial futures markets are now predicting there is a 90% probability that the Federal Open Market Committee will keep its fed funds rate unchanged at its September 20 policy meeting, and there is a 10% probability of a 25 basis point increase.
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